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Book Review – Emily Gets Her Gun, But Obama Wants to Take Yours

I was recently given a copy of “Emily Gets Her Gun, But Obama Wants To Take Yours“, by Emily Miller.  This book deals with the issues surrounding legal gun ownership in Washington D.C., as well as gun control issues around the nation.  It is a good reference for the well-informed, an excellent primer for those who know a little, but want to know more, and possibly a great resource to give to someone who is curious about the state of gun rights in the country.

Miss Miller is a journalist who lives in Washington, D.C., who decided that she needed a gun for self-defense after a home invasion.  About half of her book details the legal hoops she had to go through in order to legally purchase and own a firearm.  Just that part alone made my head spin and my blood boil.  The months of effort and hundreds of dollars it cost her to get legal authorization to own a pistol, much less carry it outside her home for self-defense, bordered on the ridiculous.

To contrast her ordeal with my first purchase of a firearm, my experience included a 2 hour conversation with Irish Woman, an hour looking at guns in a store, then 15 minutes to fill out a 4473 and give the nice man behind the counter my debit card.  Heck, the process to get a concealed carry license in Kentucky wasn’t half of what she had to go through to just purchase a handgun.

Interposed with chapters about her ordeal are chapters that deal with the statistics, politics, and outrages of guns and gun control.  This is the first book I’ve read that deals with the 2013 gun control push, both at the federal and state levels.  Miss Miller does an excellent job showing that the federal push was mostly theater, and that the real fight has been at the state level.  This leavening of her own narrative with facts and figures rounds out the book and makes it an excellent resource for those who are interested in gun rights.

Her recounting of the stories of several people who have been swept up in D.C.’s gun dragnets gives us cautionary tales of what to expect if gun control laws are expanded nationwide.  In one instance, a citizen is arrested for having illegal guns because he made the mistake of making an illegal U-turn after he got lost driving through Washington, all while legally transporting his guns through the District.  In another instance, a man was thrown into jail for the absurd crime of having a few loose cartridges in his backpack.  These and other stories remind us of why we cannot afford to give up any ground.

The overall tone of the book is forthright and straight forward, but at times Miss Miller’s politics skew the writing  somewhat.  Yes, the liberal and Democrat parts of our political process tend to lean toward gun control, but there are anti-gun Republicans as well as pro-gun Democrats.  I would have liked to have heard more about both of these types of politicians.

If you’re heavily involved in gun rights, this is a good resource for pulling together a lot of statistics.  For those who are just getting started and want to know more and learn just how bad it can be for gun owners, it will be an excellent source of information.

Standard Disclaimer – The publisher of the book provided me with a copy for reading and review.  I am offering to return it now that I am done with it, and I received nothing else for this review.

Moral Versus Legal

One of the tactics I’ve noticed when others disagree with me runs in these kinds of varieties:

  • Don’t you want poor people to eat?
  • You just want to get stoned.

I hear these and variations on them almost every time I disagree with someone on some social or political issue.  They seem to crop up mostly when I express an opinion that something that is illegal should be legal, or that something that is compelled by law is none of the government’s business.  In short, I draw a line between that which is legal and between that which is moral.

I believe that we have a moral responsibility to provide for those who are less fortunate.  My family regularly gives to charity, and we encourage others to do so as well.  Our government has decided, over the space of the last 50 years, to make that moral responsibility into a legal compulsion, and I have a problem with that.  I also believe that government involvement invites abuse.  Rather than a private charity having to watch every penny and make sure that only the deserving get fed and housed on the charity of others, the government hands out free money for junk food and apartments in urban war zones.  Rather than a charity hospital staffed by volunteers giving out preventive care and lifesaving procedures to the less fortunate, the government just keeps expanding the Medicaid roles.

Were poor people falling down dead in the streets prior to these government programs, or were they provided for by private charities?  Is it the nanny state’s place force us to be charitable, to the point of imprisoning us if we refuse to cooperate?

On the other hand, I object to the government using the force of law to prevent me from doing something others believe is immoral.  I truly believe that is immoral to be a drunkard, either by alcohol or some other intoxicant, but the efforts of the government to keep people sober are repugnant to me.  Yes, there is a lot of damage to our society from alcohol and drugs, and legalizing or relaxing restrictions on their use wouldn’t make that all magically disappear, but neither will Washington telling adults what they may or may not do with their bodies.   Another place this comes out is  when we go down the thorny path of discussing non-traditional marriage.  Some find same-sex marriage or multiple-partner marriage immoral, and try to use the law to stop it.  Like I’ve said before, I believe that what consenting adults do in their private lives is none of my business, so why is it the government’s business?

Does anyone truly believe that allowing adults to be, well, adults would cause the dissolution of the Republic?  Are we so irresponsible that we will cause social chaos if the daddy state were to leave us alone to live our own lives?

Basically, unless you’re talking about specific places where ‘moral’ intersects with ‘legal’, such as  murder and theft, I don’t want the law to be used as a cudgel to make me act in a moral fashion.  I have my own moral code to force myself to be charitable and kind, as well as to prevent me from being a jerk and a drunkard.  My gut tells me that a lot of the conflicts and distrust we have in our society right now are rooted in the fact that those who hold power and those who want power don’t trust us to make the moral choice, so they take the choice away from us.  Both sides of the political and social argument need to leave us alone.

Thought for the Day

A man who stands for nothing will fall for anything. — Malcolm X

 

Congratulations, Senator McConnell, you got me to re-register as a Republican.  Of course, I did it so I can vote against you in the primary, but hey, every card carrying member helps, right?

Today’s Earworm

This one is dedicated to President Obama, who recently ordered that the tourist areas of the Grand Canyon be closed, even though the state of Arizona had offered to fund their operations, and who is also trying to prevent use of parts of the ocean.  In both cases, the government shutdown is being used as an excuse.

Governance by Spite

According to The Weekly Standard, the Obama administration is continuing to show its disdain for veterans and our fallen warriors.  When a group of veterans and families moved aside the barricades barring their entry to the Vietnam War Memorial, the police came and told them to leave.  I would be interested to know what the police plan would have been if a veteran had told them to get stuffed.

In case you thought it was only the WWII vets that were being disrespected, this is your clue as to where the rest of us fit when it comes to the Obama administration.

The Vietnam Memorial wall is one of the few places where a family or friend can go and touch the name of their fallen. That act alone is one that I have seen many times, and it never fails to be moving, both for the person doing it and all who observe it.  Many visitors leave gifts to the dead or notes to them, pouring their hearts out.  Keeping these people away from the memorial interferes with their need to honor and mourn their dead.  To me, it is a disgusting example of a petulant, small man lashing out because he is being defied.

 

President Obama did not need to have men guard these memorials.   He did not have to order barricades put up to keep us away. If a guard was truly needed and no money could be found to pay for it, there are many volunteers, from the American Legion, the VFW, or just Norwegians in Kentucky, who would have gladly stood guard.  He is doing this for one reason and one reason only: To punish his political opponents and to make the rest of the country hurt.

I am not holding either side of the argument in Congress blameless in this mess, but from where I sit, the reaction of the Executive branch to the impasse is indefensible.  It would not surprise me to find that it cost more money to put up barricades and man them with park rangers and police than it would have to just keep the memorials on normal operations.  President Obama is trying to put the screws to the Republicans in Congress by stabbing at the American people.  He has not offered, and I do not expect him to offer, a rational explanation for this.

I cannot say how the rest of the country will react to this, but as for me I have this to say:  I will never forget this outrage, and I will be very slow to forgive.  Heaven help him and his jackals if this impasse stretches out to November 11, and he tries to keep the large number of veterans who converge on the war memorials in Washington and Arlington National Cemetery away.  The National Mall is where we honor the people who founded and preserved our nation.  It is where we honor the dream of Dr. Martin Luther King.  It is where we remember our World War II, Korea, and Vietnam war dead, and we need only look across the river to Arlington to honor thousands more from the Civil War to Iraq and Afghanistan.

Those places do not belong to the President.  They are the property of the American people, and his efforts to keep us out of them is not leadership, it is spite.

President Obama’s Latest Speech

DaddyBear News Network now takes you to President Obama’s latest address to members of Congress about what it will take to end the impasse over the federal budget.

 

Wow, too bad about Harry Reid’s head and Jay Carney’s fingers, but did you see how masterfully our dear leader got control of Vice-President Biden when he wanted to run rampant in the halls of Congress? How fortunate we are to have such a strong, gentle, and loving leader in these hard times.

Stay tuned to DBNN for further updates.

An Open Letter

Below is the text of the messages I just left on the websites of my Senators.  I urge all of you to email or call tonight to ask your Senators to support efforts to defund Obamacare.  They listened on gun control, they have been listening on Syria, and they need to hear our voices now.

————————————-

Dear Senator McConnell/Paul,

I am reaching out to you to request that you support Senator Cruz in his filibuster, and to only support cloture on the continuing resolution if an up or down vote is given to the version recently passed by the House.

The ACA has already become a destructive force in the American economy, and full enactment would force millions of Americans to either pay significantly more than they are accustomed to for insurance, or cause them to lose their insurance at all.

This has struck my family already. My employer has announced that working spouses will not be covered under our insurance plan starting in January. I understand that many employers have taken this step in order to cut costs that have ballooned due to the new mandates of the ACA. So, instead of my wife being covered under the excellent health insurance offered by my employer, she will be paying significantly more each month to get insurance through her employer, and that coverage is, to be honest, substandard.

In addition, there are cases where self-insured families are having their insurance costs double or triple, causing them to have to decide what other essential they will have to do without in order to keep health insurance, if that is even an option.

Again, please support efforts to defund the ACA and support all of those in the Senate who are trying to accomplish that goal.

Respectfully,

Daddy J. Bear
Louisville

Refutations and Insults

I somehow ended up on a mailing list for White House…. communications.  I’m sure it’s something I’ve done, because no-one I know would be malicious enough to to that to me.

Anyway, it’s quite refreshing to receive hand-crafted, artisanal partisan politics direct to my inbox every few days.

Here’s the latest missive from 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.  My responses are in italics.

—————————————–

Dan Pfeiffer, The White House

Hello —

Hi Dan, how’s it going?  Having a good week?  We’re doing fine here in Kentucky.  I’m hard at work making money so that you and yours can have a good life.

Right now, Congress has two jobs: to pass a budget that invests in the middle class and to pay the bills it has already incurred.

Actually, Congress has quite a few jobs, but I get your point.  The Congress, specifically the Senate, does indeed need to pass a budget.  This task hasn’t been done since April 29, 2009.  To put that in perspective, my youngest son had just turned 1 then, and he’s in kindergarten now.

But instead of doing their jobs, a few reckless Republicans in Congress are so obsessed with refighting old political battles over Obamacare that they’re threatening to shut down the government and stop paying the country’s bills.

Pot, meet kettle.  You all have some big brass ones for calling someone else out for playing politics.  And it wasn’t a ‘few reckless Republicans’.  The vote in the House was 230 to 189.  Let me guess, those evil reckless Republicans were holding the families of those who were demurring on defunding Obamacare hostage until after the vote.

On Friday, these House Republicans voted to shut down the government unless the Senate and the President agree to defund Obamacare. This week, instead of playing those games, the Senate is set to send a simple budget resolution back to the House — one that keeps the government open for a few months while leaders continue to work on a budget that creates jobs and cuts the deficit in a balanced way. That’s a reasonable solution.

How about we play another game?  This one in which Harry Reid and Barack Obama admit that their ‘Affordable Care Act’ is making health insurance unaffordable, forcing people out of their insurance plans, either to pay more for less coverage or into having none at all, and is so horrendous that Congress has exempted itself and its employees from having to deal with it.

But some Republicans still care more about scoring political points on Obamacare than keeping the government open and our economy moving forward.

If the President doesn’t want someone scoring political points in the budget process, then why is he making speeches to his adoring fans about those evil people on Capitol Hill who want to stop the Obamacare trainwreck?  If he cares so much about keeping the government going, then why doesn’t he let Obamacare die on the vine?  Of course, then he might need a doctor himself, because his ego is so badly bruised now that one more blow might be fatal to the poor thing.

This kind of up-to-the-final-hour brinksmanship is beyond irresponsible, and it could reverse the hard-earned economic progress we’ve made by creating another crisis. Unfortunately, we’ve watched them run this play before, and we know what it looks like. Two years ago, these Republicans held the economy hostage, and as a result our credit rating was downgraded, the stock market plummeted 17 percent, consumer confidence dropped like a rock, and businesses stopped hiring.

Here’s a hint:  If you owe creditors 100+% of your yearly income, then your credit rating is going to go down, especially if your rate of spending is going up.  You all, and by that I mean the last three or so administrations, have been spending money like it was water, and you’re blaming the people who want to tighten the tap a bit for your credit rating?

And those of us who want the President to listen to the American people and find a better way aren’t the ones with the gun against the nation’s temple.  That person sits in the Oval Office.

That’s why it’s time for GOP lawmakers to pass a simple budget resolution that doesn’t defund Obamacare and move on.

That’s why it’s time for Harry Reid and President Obama to get on with their lives and admit they were wrong when they passed Obamacare in the first place.

We need your help to spread the word so that Americans know what’s going on, so forward this message to your friends and family.

Done and done.

In the five years since the financial crisis began, the American people have pushed the economy forward. Over the past 42 months, businesses have added 7.5 million jobs. American manufacturing is growing again, and the auto industry is back. We’ve reformed Wall Street so that no company is ever again too big to fail and created the toughest consumer financial protections this nation has ever seen. We’ve cut our deficit by more than half, made the tax code more progressive, and reformed our health care system.

What does this have to do with the subject at hand?  OK, I’ll play:  Businesses are adding part-time McJobs, and the labor pool participation rate is the lowest it’s been in my lifetime.  That means that a huge number of people have just plain given up.  The auto industry, outside of Ford, is a zombie that needed to be put down in 2009, but was given a huge transfusion of cash just before it went into the toilet.  Of course, the UAW is sitting pretty, so I guess you can call that a win for someone.  Wall Street is more stratified and “too big to fail” than it was before the crisis.  The deficit was cut because you all couldn’t find a way to do the right thing last year, so automatic across-the-board cuts went into effect. And your ‘reform’ of the health care system means that more people are going to be either on Medicaid or without insurance entirely.

Today, there is record demand for American products abroad, and our tech companies are booming. The housing market is coming back — sales of existing homes are up by double digits and new foreclosures are down to the lowest levels since the start of 2006.

Again, how is this relevant to the subject of your email?  Oh wait, I understand. If you can’t make a point using facts and figures, baffle them with bullshit.  Got it.

I guess we’re out of the rut we were in, because Google and Microsoft employ millions of American workers.  Let’s face it, if you aren’t one of the educational, social, or political elite, the Obama ‘recovery’ isn’t doing much for you.  You eloi up on the mountaintop have no idea how the rest of us are having to work tooth and nail to keep the wheels on while you enjoy the party.  That is, until our jobs are sent overseas by someone who contributed to your presidential library fund or reelection campaign.

You know, you probably don’t want to trumpet the housing market too loudly.  Just because you’ve hit bottom, where people are willing to buy up properties with depressed values, isn’t a good thing unless you can find a way to stop bouncing along the bottom.  Plus, we all knew that eventually the banks would run out of mortgages to foreclose on.  It’s not time to count coup just because you were able to survive long enough to see us find the bottom of the mineshaft.

We need to keep building momentum. So we’re asking Congress to join the President in creating a better bargain for the middle class, and give up on manufacturing a new political crisis. For that to happen, reasonable Congressional Republicans have to stand up to a few extreme members of their party for the good of the country and our economy.

Want to help the middle class?  Then get out of our way.  The middle class was finding it’s own solutions to the ‘healthcare crisis’ just fine before you all came along and peed in the punchbowl.  We either had the insurance we wanted or had a clear path to finding it.  With the way things are going now, we’re going to be lucky to get seen at the free clinic in a couple of weeks the next time one of the kids gets sick.

From the day he took office, President Obama has been open to any good idea when it comes to the budget, as long as supporting middle-class families remains our North Star. Republicans won’t extract concessions over the full faith and credit of the United States.

Here’s a good idea:  Propose a budget and get your own party to vote for it.  Cut out the ideological crusading, do your homework, and do your bloody job.  I don’t pay you all to try to make this country into your vision of a first world shithole. 

Will you help spread the word? Share this message so that people know what’s about to happen to the economy if Congress doesn’t act.

Again, done and done.  I’m doing my best to tell everyone I know just what will happen to our economy if that collection of cronyism and corporate carve-outs is allowed to come into force.

Thanks,

No, Dan, thank you.  Have a good one.

Dan

Dan Pfeiffer
Senior Advisor
The White House

Refutations and Insults

Yesterday, President Obama graced us with his presence to lay out his reasons for wanting to get us embroiled in someone else’s civil war.  I thought I’d take a look at the transcript and discuss his points with you all.  My thoughts are in italics.

STATEMENT BY THE PRESIDENT ON SYRIA

Rose Garden

1:52 P.M. EDT

THE PRESIDENT:  Good afternoon, everybody.  Ten days ago, the world watched in horror as men, women and children were massacred in Syria in the worst chemical weapons attack of the 21st century.  Yesterday the United States presented a powerful case that the Syrian government was responsible for this attack on its own people.

Good high school level speechifying there.  Tell ’em what you’re gonna tell ’em, as Mrs. Olson used to say.

Our intelligence shows the Assad regime and its forces preparing to use chemical weapons, launching rockets in the highly populated suburbs of Damascus, and acknowledging that a chemical weapons attack took place.  And all of this corroborates what the world can plainly see — hospitals overflowing with victims; terrible images of the dead.  All told, well over 1,000 people were murdered.  Several hundred of them were children — young girls and boys gassed to death by their own government.

Assuming that your information is credible, so what?  Not to sound heartless, because I honestly do care about the pain and suffering of the innocent, but why is it the responsibility of the United States to chastise every bad actor on the planet?

This attack is an assault on human dignity.  It also presents a serious danger to our national security.  It risks making a mockery of the global prohibition on the use of chemical weapons.  It endangers our friends and our partners along Syria’s borders, including Israel, Jordan, Turkey, Lebanon and Iraq.  It could lead to escalating use of chemical weapons, or their proliferation to terrorist groups who would do our people harm.

How?  Is Assad going to launch ICBM’s tipped with sarin at St. Louis?  Let me clue you into something here, junior, and I’ll speak slowly and use small words because obviously five years in the hot seat hasn’t taught you anything:  The people who want to do us and our allies harm don’t give a tinker’s damn about a “global prohibition” of anything.  It’s already prohibited to use non-uniformed people to wage war.  It’s already prohibited to use prisoners for propaganda purposes and execute them.  It’s already prohibited to intentionally target civilians as a means to an end.  They do these things now, they have been doing these things since I was watching the Watergate hearings instead of Sesame Street, and they will be doing these things while you are enjoying your taxpayer-funded retirement.

In a world with many dangers, this menace must be confronted.

Menace to whom?  His own people?  Menace to supporters of what is becoming an al Qaeda insurgency?  Maybe, but not a menace to us.

Now, after careful deliberation, I have decided that the United States should take military action against Syrian regime targets.  This would not be an open-ended intervention.  We would not put boots on the ground.  Instead, our action would be designed to be limited in duration and scope.  But I’m confident we can hold the Assad regime accountable for their use of chemical weapons, deter this kind of behavior, and degrade their capacity to carry it out.

Right, because lofting a few cruise missiles at what are now probably deserted buildings, firing positions, and aircraft revetments will do something constructive.  You can’t deter by telegraphing your punch.  You set down your ‘red line’ a year ago, and now that your bluff has been called, you don’t have anything effective in your plans.

Our military has positioned assets in the region.  The Chairman of the Joint Chiefs has informed me that we are prepared to strike whenever we choose.  Moreover, the Chairman has indicated to me that our capacity to execute this mission is not time-sensitive; it will be effective tomorrow, or next week, or one month from now.  And I’m prepared to give that order.

Right, because we can just let a good chunk of our already gutted Navy float just off the coast for a while.  I’m sure there’s nothing else they could be doing.  And of course the plans that are put together today will be okey dokey in a few weeks after Assad has played 3 Card Monte with his assets.

But having made my decision as Commander-in-Chief based on what I am convinced is our national security interests, I’m also mindful that I’m the President of the world’s oldest constitutional democracy.  I’ve long believed that our power is rooted not just in our military might, but in our example as a government of the people, by the people, and for the people.  And that’s why I’ve made a second decision:  I will seek authorization for the use of force from the American people’s representatives in Congress.

OK, how does doing anything in Syria have an iota of connection to our national security?  Is Assad actively helping to kill our troops?  Has Assad given aid to people who have killed our civilians?  Maybe Assad has worked to destabilize our allies.  No wait, that’s the guys that Assad is fighting.  Never mind.

Also, we’re not a ‘constitutional democracy’.  We’re a republic.  Learn the difference, you constitutional scholar.

Oh, and thank you for going to Congress to make sure the people’s representatives approve of you committing an act of war without anyone doing anything, you know, that actually harms or threatens the United States.

Over the last several days, we’ve heard from members of Congress who want their voices to be heard.  I absolutely agree. So this morning, I spoke with all four congressional leaders, and they’ve agreed to schedule a debate and then a vote as soon as Congress comes back into session.

This will be fun.  I’ll bring popcorn.  How about this:  If this is so all fired important, have the Congressional leadership recall Congress right now.  I have it on good authority, namely personal experience, that you can be in the Washington D.C. area in less than 24 hours from just about anywhere in the world.

In the coming days, my administration stands ready to provide every member with the information they need to understand what happened in Syria and why it has such profound implications for America’s national security.  And all of us should be accountable as we move forward, and that can only be accomplished with a vote.

Why don’t you release the information to the entire country?  President Kennedy released classified reconnaissance photographs of Soviet construction and equipment from Cuba during the missile crisis in order to make his case to the American people and he only had to convince my grandparents that allowing someone to point nuclear missiles at them would be a bad idea.  Whatever you’re showing the Congresscritters ought to be posted to the White House website.

I’m confident in the case our government has made without waiting for U.N. inspectors.  I’m comfortable going forward without the approval of a United Nations Security Council that, so far, has been completely paralyzed and unwilling to hold Assad accountable.  As a consequence, many people have advised against taking this decision to Congress, and undoubtedly, they were impacted by what we saw happen in the United Kingdom this week when the Parliament of our closest ally failed to pass a resolution with a similar goal, even as the Prime Minister supported taking action.

How awful that the International Despots’ Debate Club and Mutual Assistance Organization hasn’t bowed down to your enlightened pronouncements.  I guess waiting for a ‘neutral’ organization like the U.N. to investigate a situation that is none of our business is just too much to ask for.  This is exactly what the U.N. was set up to take care of, but I guess getting their OK before bombing people in the Mid East is only important if they do it on your timescale.   And I suggest that those on your staff that read the political tea leaves left by Parliament are doing a pretty good job of predicting the future.  Oh, how terrible that a country that you snubbed and insulted in your first few months of being in the Oval Office rebuff your efforts to get them to expend munitions on demand.

Yet, while I believe I have the authority to carry out this military action without specific congressional authorization, I know that the country will be stronger if we take this course, and our actions will be even more effective.  We should have this debate, because the issues are too big for business as usual.  And this morning, John Boehner, Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi and Mitch McConnell agreed that this is the right thing to do for our democracy.

Article 1, Section 8 of the The Constitution states that the Congress shall have the power  “To declare War, grant Letters of Marque and Reprisal, and make Rules concerning Captures on Land and Water”, not the Executive.  Bombarding a foreign country counts as an act of war from where I sit.  I guess you didn’t cover that in those constitutional law classes you audited taught.  Now, we all know that the President may give orders to conduct combat in the case of national emergency or foreign attack, but that isn’t what is happening.  You’re talking about poking your precision guided phallic symbols into someone else’s conflict, and there’s no immediate reason to start committing acts of war without getting a thumbs up from the American people through their elected representatives.  If you’d actually shown up for a few sessions in your brief career as a Senator, you might understand that.  

A country faces few decisions as grave as using military force, even when that force is limited.  I respect the views of those who call for caution, particularly as our country emerges from a time of war that I was elected in part to end.  But if we really do want to turn away from taking appropriate action in the face of such an unspeakable outrage, then we just acknowledge the costs of doing nothing.

The cost of doing nothing is exactly nothing.  We gain absolutely nothing from attacking Assad, and we risk way too much in prestige.  What are we going to gain, the unending trust and admiration of the people who attacked us on 9/11?  God forbid that you do this with manned aircraft and an aircrew gets shot down and captured by either side.  

Here’s my question for every member of Congress and every member of the global community:  What message will we send if a dictator can gas hundreds of children to death in plain sight and pay no price?  What’s the purpose of the international system that we’ve built if a prohibition on the use of chemical weapons that has been agreed to by the governments of 98 percent of the world’s people and approved overwhelmingly by the Congress of the United States is not enforced?

The international system has precisely zero purpose, and hasn’t since long before either of us was born.  The U.N. was set up to prevent genocide and wars, and we’ve had over half a century just chock full of both.  The message we send is that the United States is not going to get mixed up in the civil wars of other sovereign nations when they don’t directly impinge on our allies and the interests of the United States.  You remember the United States, don’t you, sparky?  That’s the country you’re supposed to be president of.

Make no mistake — this has implications beyond chemical warfare.  If we won’t enforce accountability in the face of this heinous act, what does it say about our resolve to stand up to others who flout fundamental international rules?  To governments who would choose to build nuclear arms?  To terrorist who would spread biological weapons?  To armies who carry out genocide?

The only international rules that matter are the ones that we choose to follow ourselves.  How’s your and your predecessors’ policies to keep North Korea and Iran from getting nuclear weapons working out?  Are you going to bomb Natans to stop the work, without going to the United Nations or the Congress?  We’re already fighting terrorists in every corner of the world if they’re working against our interests or against our allies.  Are you going to do even more because they might be trying to get and use bio or chem weapons?  (Hint – They already are.)  As for armies who carry out genocide, why don’t you ask Bill Clinton what we do about genocide, seeing as how he sat on his hands in front of an intern while Bosnians and Rwandans were being slaughtered by the thousands?  While we’re at it, care to discuss your administration’s response to the genocide in Darfur or the persecution of Coptic Christians by the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt?

We cannot raise our children in a world where we will not follow through on the things we say, the accords we sign, the values that define us.

We cannot raise our children in a world where we go to war because you shot off your mouth about shooting off some missiles.  

So just as I will take this case to Congress, I will also deliver this message to the world.  While the U.N. investigation has some time to report on its findings, we will insist that an atrocity committed with chemical weapons is not simply investigated, it must be confronted.

Good luck.  Getting the dictators at the U.N. to do something about one of their own, especially when Putin and Assad have a really tight client/patron relationship, will be quite a feat.  

I don’t expect every nation to agree with the decision we have made.  Privately we’ve heard many expressions of support from our friends.  But I will ask those who care about the writ of the international community to stand publicly behind our action.

The “International Community” is only interested in doing things that support their interests, and no-one but Islamic terrorists in Syria will gain by anything you do.  Look, I’m appalled by what happened too, but it’s unreasonable for us to pick which group of bastards we support in this conflict.  I see only two ways that our interests could be served:  Either we keep ourselves completely out of it, or we give just enough support to both sides so that the conflict ties up and exhausts both Al Qaeda and Iran.

And finally, let me say this to the American people:  I know well that we are weary of war.  We’ve ended one war in Iraq.  We’re ending another in Afghanistan.  And the American people have the good sense to know we cannot resolve the underlying conflict in Syria with our military.  In that part of the world, there are ancient sectarian differences, and the hopes of the Arab Spring have unleashed forces of change that are going to take many years to resolve.  And that’s why we’re not contemplating putting our troops in the middle of someone else’s war.

Then what exactly do you plan on accomplishing with your splendid little war, which I am now dubbing “Operation Ego Savior”?  Urban renewal in the slums of Damascus?  Helping Assad clear land for his newest palace?   It’s not that we’re weary of war.  The American people will pull together and fight a just war no matter how tired we are.  It’s just that we’re weary of wars with no real benefit to us.  Iraq was dubious, Libya was an outright travesty, and now you’re asking us to let you do it to us again.  

Instead, we’ll continue to support the Syrian people through our pressure on the Assad regime, our commitment to the opposition, our care for the displaced, and our pursuit of a political resolution that achieves a government that respects the dignity of its people.

Want to support the people in Syria who don’t care if it’s the Islamists or Assad who wins, so long as they’re left alone?  Support Turkey and Jordan in setting up decent refugee camps and encourage the civilians to get the hell out of the line of fire.  Oh, and if you’re looking for a political resolution to this, I’ve got news for you:  This is going to end when the leadership of one side or the other is hanging out of a window by their entrails. 

But we are the United States of America, and we cannot and must not turn a blind eye to what happened in Damascus.  Out of the ashes of world war, we built an international order and enforced the rules that gave it meaning.  And we did so because we believe that the rights of individuals to live in peace and dignity depends on the responsibilities of nations.  We aren’t perfect, but this nation more than any other has been willing to meet those responsibilities.

Out of the ashes of world war, Roosevelt set up a place for dictators to come together to syphon off aid money and live the high life in Manhattan.  The rights of individuals to live in peace and dignity depend on those individuals themselves, not their governments, and not on some nebulous “international community”.  And we’ve been pouring blood and treasure into policing a world empire without enjoying the fruits of empire for long enough, thank you very much.

So to all members of Congress of both parties, I ask you to take this vote for our national security.  I am looking forward to the debate.  And in doing so, I ask you, members of Congress, to consider that some things are more important than partisan differences or the politics of the moment.

“Partisan differences and the politics of the moment” sounds great, but members of both dominant parties are lining up against your plans.  And again, I must remind you that this has bupkis to do with our national security, unless you count your own prestige and ego as being essential to the security of our nation.

Ultimately, this is not about who occupies this office at any given time; it’s about who we are as a country.  I believe that the people’s representatives must be invested in what America does abroad, and now is the time to show the world that America keeps our commitments.  We do what we say.  And we lead with the belief that right makes might — not the other way around.

Who occupies your office has everything to do with what is happening right now.  You are the one who said that Assad must go, even though it is none of our business who holds the whip in Syria, and you are the jackass who said that use of chemical weapons would cross a red line.  Now you’ve talked yourself into a corner, our allies are walking away from you, and the American people are telling you that we should stay out of it.   I can only hope that you will listen, as Prime Minister Cameron did when the House of Commons voted down his proposal to go along with you in wagging this particular dog.

We all know there are no easy options.  But I wasn’t elected to avoid hard decisions.  And neither were the members of the House and the Senate.  I’ve told you what I believe, that our security and our values demand that we cannot turn away from the massacre of countless civilians with chemical weapons.  And our democracy is stronger when the President and the people’s representatives stand together.

Who gives a tinker’s damn what you believe?   I care about what you can prove.  Can you prove to me that the Assad regime committed this heinous act, and that doing something about it is directly in our national interest?  You haven’t had a problem with pissing on our security and our values for the past five years, so why start now?   And actually, our republic is stronger when the Executive and the Congress are in distrustful opposition of each other unless there is a crystal clear reason to act.

I’m ready to act in the face of this outrage.  Today I’m asking Congress to send a message to the world that we are ready to move forward together as one nation.

Committing an unneeded act of war against a sovereign nation, when that nation hasn’t done anything to harm us, and without getting a war declaration from the Congress comes to my definition of “high crimes and misdemeanors”.  Congress declares war, you prosecute the war.  It’s that simple.  You’ll be lucky if you do this without Congress giving you the green light, and especially if they tell you “No”, and all you get in response is outrage.

Thanks very much.

No, thank you.  I hope you enjoyed your round of golf after the press conference.  Must be awfully difficult to negotiate with skeptics in Congress from the 13th hole.

 

Final thoughts –

I think you can tell from my comments and other posts that I believe that there isn’t much that Syria could do that would justify American action against Assad.  To be honest, he would have to attack either Turkey or Israel to get me to consider it.  Neither side in this conflict is our friend, and the Islamists opposing Assad won’t thank us for anything we do to him and his regime.

The President seems to be claiming that he already has the power to conduct war against Syria, with or without the approval of Congress.  In that, I believe that he is wrong.  We have recognized since at least 1941 that sometimes war happens before our representatives can get together and make it official, but only in cases where someone is actively attacking us or our allies.  In this case, that isn’t happening.  Assad did something terrible, but it’s not our place to unilaterally avenge the deaths of people who aren’t one of us.  If anyone outside of Syria should be doing this, it ought to be the Arab League, or any of the Muslim countries that have been bankrolling the Syrian rebels.

This is not our fight, and I refuse to sit quietly by and allow the President to violate constitutional limits on his powers in order to protect his prestige and ego.  I am writing to my senators and congressman to ask them to oppose this, and I urge all of you to do the same.

History is Rhyming

“One day the great European War will come out of some damned foolish thing in the Balkans (1888).”  — Otto von Bismarck

99 years ago this month, the First World War started.  The balance of terror on the European continent had been maintained since the Prussians beat the French like a rented mule in 1870, but Britain, Russia, France, Austro-Hungary, and Germany had spent the 40 years of ‘peace’ re-arming and maneuvering.  There were little brush fire wars in the Balkans and a few other places, but the big countries were keeping their eyes on each other as they reloaded.

The spark for the Great War was, of course, the assassination of the heir to the Austo-Hungarian throne by a Serb nationalist.  Austria declared war on Serbia, Russia declared war on Austria, Germany declared war on Russia and France, and Great Britain joined in to complete the royal flush.  By the time all was said and done, millions were dead and wounded, centuries old governments and countries were wiped from the map, and the world had begun its long swim in the blood of millions killed in future wars and the attrocities of Nazism and Communism.

Now, we seem to be heading down an eerily similar path.

Someone, either the Assad regime or the Islamic forces who are trying to overthrow him, lobbed chemical weapons shells at civilians the other night.  Hundreds are dead, and the world is lining up on one side of the battlefield or the other on whether or not to ‘punish’ Assad for this despicable incident.  Because making idle threats is what you do when you want to be seen as acting but don’t want to risk actually doing something, President Obama painted a big, bright red line around the use of WMD’s in the Syrian Civil War.  Now that his line has been crossed, he’s having to rattle the saber and publicly threaten to…. do something.

In the event that he makes more than a token show of force so that he can beat his Nobel Peace Prize against his chest and proclaim that he has avenged those who were killed, here’s how I see things rolling out:

  1. The U.S., with or without our allies, does something that critically damages Assad.  Maybe a short but sharp aerial bombardment of military installations such as air defense, air force, or tank parks happens.  Whatever it is, it’s something that Assad can’t easily afford to lose while he tries to keep from being forced into retirement in Tehran.
  2. Regionally, Iran uses this as an excuse to do…. something.  My guess is to start sinking ships in the Straits of Hormuz or just start sending Iranian army units into Syria to augment the Syrian army, Hezbollah, and the Republican Guard units that are already fighting there.  It’s possible they could even start a campaign of attacks against the soft underbelly of the American and European civilian countries – their civilians.
  3. Globally, Russia reacts.  Maybe they just make diplomatic and economic noises, but quite possibly, Russia could reinforce its naval base and other forces in Syria, especially if any ‘advisors’ or ‘trainers’ are hurt in the initial American attacks.  That would up the chances of more conflict with either the American supported anti-Assad forces or incidents where Russian forces tangle with American forces in either the sky or on the sea.  Russia could also shut off the natural gas taps for any European country that assisted the Americans, either with forces, flyover, or basing.  Nothing encourages a nation to get into a war fever than watching pensioners die of cold because another country cut off their heat just before winter.
  4. Tensions mount, Syria turns into even more of a flaming wreck, and the war there gets even bloodier.  It possibly spreads to neighboring, multi-ethnic and multi-faith countries (Turkey, Iraq).
  5. As the dominoes start to wobble and fall, the major powers start propping up their client states with more and more direct aid, probably including direct military intervention.  Would we stand by as an Iranian-backed revolution in Turkey destabilized a NATO ally?  Would Russia stand by as we repeatedly smacked Iran and Syria upside the head?
  6. Russia and the United States eventually come to blows, either in and around Syria, or in other areas.  China also might get dragged into this, which could spread the conflict to the Pacific, where they have been sparring with Japan, the Philippines, and Korea over resources.
  7. Of course, like everything else in the madhouse of the Levant, the joker in the deck is Israel.  Would Hezbollah, Hamas, and every other wild-eyed pissant in the region let a war break out without trying to push the Israelis into a grave?  Would Israel retaliate against them, even if it meant being drawn into a growing regional conflict?

Now, this is only one way this could go, and like all predictions, it’s possibly not worth the electrons it took to make it.  But the probability of an Iranian or Russian response to a major attack against Assad by the United States and her allies is pretty high.  Would it become a proxy war between Putin and Obama, or maybe even a shooting war between the great powers?  One would hope not, and also hope that rational thinkers would avert such a thing.  But rationality is not known to be common in these things.

There are only a couple of ways I can see this not blossoming into something ugly:

  1. If indeed it was the Syrian government that carried out the attack, then Assad could avert this by giving up his subordinates who carried it out.  I doubt he would allow them to be arrested and tried at the Hague, but nothing calms the waters like a quick show trial and a public execution.
  2. Obama reaches out to Russia and makes them a partner in getting to the bottom of this and punishing the bad actors.  Russia supports Assad, but if Putin put his approval on a plan to investigate and prosecute, especially if the Russians are given an equal footing in the endeavor, then that would deescalate things between the great powers.  That could also allow the U.N. to be useful, for once.
  3. Obama makes a meaningless show of force, Putin and Obama bluster at each other until the next shiny object comes up for review, and the Syrians, Iranians, and Islamists keep ripping each other’s guts out for the foreseeable future.
  4. Obama is forestalled from acting precipitously, and the crisis is resolved by those who actually have a dog in the fight.

I see 1 and 3 as being the most likely.  Assad is a survivor, and Obama is all about public shows with nothing to back them up.

Of course, number 4 would require that someone in Congress actually read the Constitution and realize that it’s not for the President to start a war.  Currently, my Congressman and one of my Senators are lonely voices in the wilderness on this, but they need to be joined by their colleagues.   President Obama abused his war powers when it came to Libya, and now it appears that he is going to do it again.  Nothing that has happened in Syria poses a threat to the United States, and if force is necessary, then Congress, not the President nor the U.N., needs to be the one to authorize it.

History is rhyming, and I am convinced that if the next Great War is to begin in the near future, it will be precipitated by some damned foolish thing in Syria.  Here’s hoping that we get luckier this time than we did in 1914.