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History is Rhyming

“One day the great European War will come out of some damned foolish thing in the Balkans (1888).”  — Otto von Bismarck

99 years ago this month, the First World War started.  The balance of terror on the European continent had been maintained since the Prussians beat the French like a rented mule in 1870, but Britain, Russia, France, Austro-Hungary, and Germany had spent the 40 years of ‘peace’ re-arming and maneuvering.  There were little brush fire wars in the Balkans and a few other places, but the big countries were keeping their eyes on each other as they reloaded.

The spark for the Great War was, of course, the assassination of the heir to the Austo-Hungarian throne by a Serb nationalist.  Austria declared war on Serbia, Russia declared war on Austria, Germany declared war on Russia and France, and Great Britain joined in to complete the royal flush.  By the time all was said and done, millions were dead and wounded, centuries old governments and countries were wiped from the map, and the world had begun its long swim in the blood of millions killed in future wars and the attrocities of Nazism and Communism.

Now, we seem to be heading down an eerily similar path.

Someone, either the Assad regime or the Islamic forces who are trying to overthrow him, lobbed chemical weapons shells at civilians the other night.  Hundreds are dead, and the world is lining up on one side of the battlefield or the other on whether or not to ‘punish’ Assad for this despicable incident.  Because making idle threats is what you do when you want to be seen as acting but don’t want to risk actually doing something, President Obama painted a big, bright red line around the use of WMD’s in the Syrian Civil War.  Now that his line has been crossed, he’s having to rattle the saber and publicly threaten to…. do something.

In the event that he makes more than a token show of force so that he can beat his Nobel Peace Prize against his chest and proclaim that he has avenged those who were killed, here’s how I see things rolling out:

  1. The U.S., with or without our allies, does something that critically damages Assad.  Maybe a short but sharp aerial bombardment of military installations such as air defense, air force, or tank parks happens.  Whatever it is, it’s something that Assad can’t easily afford to lose while he tries to keep from being forced into retirement in Tehran.
  2. Regionally, Iran uses this as an excuse to do…. something.  My guess is to start sinking ships in the Straits of Hormuz or just start sending Iranian army units into Syria to augment the Syrian army, Hezbollah, and the Republican Guard units that are already fighting there.  It’s possible they could even start a campaign of attacks against the soft underbelly of the American and European civilian countries – their civilians.
  3. Globally, Russia reacts.  Maybe they just make diplomatic and economic noises, but quite possibly, Russia could reinforce its naval base and other forces in Syria, especially if any ‘advisors’ or ‘trainers’ are hurt in the initial American attacks.  That would up the chances of more conflict with either the American supported anti-Assad forces or incidents where Russian forces tangle with American forces in either the sky or on the sea.  Russia could also shut off the natural gas taps for any European country that assisted the Americans, either with forces, flyover, or basing.  Nothing encourages a nation to get into a war fever than watching pensioners die of cold because another country cut off their heat just before winter.
  4. Tensions mount, Syria turns into even more of a flaming wreck, and the war there gets even bloodier.  It possibly spreads to neighboring, multi-ethnic and multi-faith countries (Turkey, Iraq).
  5. As the dominoes start to wobble and fall, the major powers start propping up their client states with more and more direct aid, probably including direct military intervention.  Would we stand by as an Iranian-backed revolution in Turkey destabilized a NATO ally?  Would Russia stand by as we repeatedly smacked Iran and Syria upside the head?
  6. Russia and the United States eventually come to blows, either in and around Syria, or in other areas.  China also might get dragged into this, which could spread the conflict to the Pacific, where they have been sparring with Japan, the Philippines, and Korea over resources.
  7. Of course, like everything else in the madhouse of the Levant, the joker in the deck is Israel.  Would Hezbollah, Hamas, and every other wild-eyed pissant in the region let a war break out without trying to push the Israelis into a grave?  Would Israel retaliate against them, even if it meant being drawn into a growing regional conflict?

Now, this is only one way this could go, and like all predictions, it’s possibly not worth the electrons it took to make it.  But the probability of an Iranian or Russian response to a major attack against Assad by the United States and her allies is pretty high.  Would it become a proxy war between Putin and Obama, or maybe even a shooting war between the great powers?  One would hope not, and also hope that rational thinkers would avert such a thing.  But rationality is not known to be common in these things.

There are only a couple of ways I can see this not blossoming into something ugly:

  1. If indeed it was the Syrian government that carried out the attack, then Assad could avert this by giving up his subordinates who carried it out.  I doubt he would allow them to be arrested and tried at the Hague, but nothing calms the waters like a quick show trial and a public execution.
  2. Obama reaches out to Russia and makes them a partner in getting to the bottom of this and punishing the bad actors.  Russia supports Assad, but if Putin put his approval on a plan to investigate and prosecute, especially if the Russians are given an equal footing in the endeavor, then that would deescalate things between the great powers.  That could also allow the U.N. to be useful, for once.
  3. Obama makes a meaningless show of force, Putin and Obama bluster at each other until the next shiny object comes up for review, and the Syrians, Iranians, and Islamists keep ripping each other’s guts out for the foreseeable future.
  4. Obama is forestalled from acting precipitously, and the crisis is resolved by those who actually have a dog in the fight.

I see 1 and 3 as being the most likely.  Assad is a survivor, and Obama is all about public shows with nothing to back them up.

Of course, number 4 would require that someone in Congress actually read the Constitution and realize that it’s not for the President to start a war.  Currently, my Congressman and one of my Senators are lonely voices in the wilderness on this, but they need to be joined by their colleagues.   President Obama abused his war powers when it came to Libya, and now it appears that he is going to do it again.  Nothing that has happened in Syria poses a threat to the United States, and if force is necessary, then Congress, not the President nor the U.N., needs to be the one to authorize it.

History is rhyming, and I am convinced that if the next Great War is to begin in the near future, it will be precipitated by some damned foolish thing in Syria.  Here’s hoping that we get luckier this time than we did in 1914.

Schadenfreude

Alternate title – Own it

Apparently the shine on the Obama presidency is rubbing off a bit, at least when it comes to America’s labor unions.  First, Obamacare is pushing employers to cut full-time positions to strictly part-time status, or eliminate them entirely.  People who have their hours cut in half or have their jobs erased don’t pay as much in union dues, now do they?  Second, President Obama decreed that we shall not create thousands of jobs in the mid-west, with many of them going to union labor, when he refused to authorize construction of the Keystone XL oil pipeline.  Those construction workers, teamsters, and manufacturers ought to be building windmills and unicorn feeding stations anyway.  And finally, his Department of Justice has filed suit to block the merger of American Airlines and US-Airways, which puts the continued competitiveness and survival of both companies in jeopardy.  Those highly unionized pilots, flight attendants, and pilots aren’t going to be paying into union coffers if their airlines go belly up.

So what we have is the most radically leftist administration in my lifetime thumbing its nose at those who put it in office.  Without the support of the labor unions, not only would Obama still be the least industrious Senator in our history, but most of the Democrat members of Congress who either swept in on his coat tails or held onto their jobs because of his victories would be out doing something more commensurate with their skills and work ethic, like sweeping up cigarette butts from the gutter.

And now that the unions have everything they asked for in two major elections, they’re complaining about the bite marks on their feeding hand.  For those of you who can see me writing this, the tears that are running down my face are from the grief I feel at their misfortune.

Oh, gee.  Oh, golly gosh darn.  How horrible that through their support of a naval gazing neophyte of a wind-up politician, they are now getting bitten right in the member(ship).  What will they do without all of those millions of dollars in dues that those who have their jobs either cut, eliminated, or never even created would have funneled into union coffers?

How absolutely sad it would be for the AFL-CIO, Teamsters, and SEIU to wake up and realize that they’ve been used in the same manner that I used to use baby wipes on Boo?

My advice to them is to look themselves in the mirror, admit that the bruises don’t come from falling down steps and walking into doors, and find a way to remove their attachment from their abuser.  They need to look deeply at their own actions and realize that their poor choices in politics led them to this circumstance, and they need to become more than the Pavlovian piggy bank and voting bloc of the Democrats.  I’m not under any illusions that they will become a truly apolitical organization that only supports politicians that have a track record of keeping their word and not hosing the American worker, but maybe, just maybe, they’ll take the time to examine whomever the Democrats pimp out in 2016 before the unions and their members step into their yokes for them.

A National Disgrace, and A Texas Honor

Yesterday, Nidal Hasan, a commissioned officer in the United States Army Medical Corps, was convicted of 45 counts related to a murderous rampage at Fort Hood in Texas.  This bastard son of an inbred Algerian goat rapist murdered 13 people, 12 of them soldiers who took the same oath as he did and wore the same uniform, and wounded 32 more.  Since then, it has come to light that he had been in regular communication with jihadist religious leaders overseas and had counseled soldiers under his care that they were to blame for their own injuries and troubles, and that their comrades that were killed in combat deserved what they got.

In the aftermath of the massacre, even after Hasan freely admitted that he committed the crime as part of a global jihad against us and those like us, the Obama administration and their uniformed lapdogs in the Pentagon have refused to call the deaths and injuries from the attack combat related.  By so doing, they are denying those who were harmed and the families of those who were killed benefits from the Department of Veterans Affairs.  This brings shame on all of us.

It is a national disgrace that the people that that jihadist piece of crap shot and their survivors aren’t being given the combat benefits that they so richly deserve. Here’s a hint: When the guy who shoots up the SRP facility freely admits to being an Islamist terrorist, that means that the people he hurt and killed were involved in combat, no matter where they happened to be.

Since the federal government has turned its back on them, the state of Texas is stepping up.  Rather than treat our wounded veterans and their widows and orphans like trash that needs to be hidden from public view, they are extending benefits to those who survived and the survivors of the fallen the same benefits in the state Veteran’s Land Bureau.  This will help them own a home and continue the lives that Hasan tried to destroy and that Obama and his ilk are ignoring.

Good on Texas for doing what’s right, even if the President and his toadies don’t have the guts to follow their example.  When we ignore those who pay the price for our defense, we cheapen their lives and discourage their efforts.  Hopefully President Obama changes his mind and his heart, but no matter what he and his cabal of weak-willed individuals do, it is up to us to do the right thing.

An Open Letter to the Republican National Committee

Ladies and Gentlemen,

I am a life-long Republican who has decided that the party has left me and those like me behind in its journey toward becoming the other Democrat party.  Now, the usual gang of idiots, whose support gave us Bob Dole, John McCain, and Mitt Romney, is lining up to support New Jersey governor Chris Christie in his quest to become the next Republican to lose to a Democrat half-wit.

I’ve walked away from the Republican party rank and file, and put myself into the “Independent” column, but I still tend to lean toward your side of the argument on most elected officials.  That being said, let me make myself perfectly clear:

If you nominate Chris Christie or any of his ilk for the presidency in 2016, you will lose, and I will do everything in my power to help that along.

Now, let me be brutally honest:

I will vote for Hillary Rodham Clinton before I will vote for Chris Christie. I will vote for Nancy Pelosi before I will vote for Chris Christie. I will vote for Deval Patrick before I will vote for Chris Christie.  I will vote for just about anyone else on the face of the planet before I will vote for Chris Christie.

And I will shout from the rooftops to anyone who will listen as to why and I will take as many Republican voters with me as I can.

Chris Christie is political kryptonite to me and those like me.  He has cozied up to Barack Obama as often as he can.  He opposes gun rights at every turn, and supported anti-rights legislation in New Jersey at the same time that a groundswell of support for pro-gun legislators in Congress was at its peak.  His ilk should not be the future of the party, and if he is, you will throw away the support of that all-important “None of the above” political demographic.

Am I getting through to you?

The best case scenario for you if Governor Christie is on the Republican ticket in 2016 is that we stay home on election day.  The worst case is that we decide to vote for someone other than the person y’all decided deserved a turn at losing an election.

If you want my support and the support of those like me, you need to break your habit of putting up a milquetoast, get-along-to-get-along candidate.  You need to support people who want to roll back the abuses of the last two presidencies, both in the area of individual rights and in the overreach and intrusion of the federal government.  Anything less will reinforce your status as the also-ran, permanent loyal opposition.

Sincerely yours,

Daddy J. Bear
Louisville, KY

 

(Yes, I did put this in an envelope and mailed it.  No, I don’t expect they’ll respond)

Irish Woman Goes Galt

I recently found out that in order to afford the cost of implementing the things that are mandated in Obamacare, my employer is changing their policy for insuring spouses.  Because Irish Woman works and her employer offers health insurance, my company is not going to be cover her on my insurance.  I’m not happy about this, but I don’t blame my employer.  They aren’t a nonprofit, and the money to cover all of the new compliance issues and mandatory coverage has to come from somewhere.

Here is my lovely Irish Woman’s take 0n the situation.

Just found out today that I will no longer be able to use my spouse’s healthcare benefits starting next year.  Corporate America is going to have to find a way to cover the costs of Obama’s socialized world. What does this mean? As hard-working “Mule Middle Class” Americans, our household healthcare cost will increase about $400.00 dollars a month…It will cost as much for me to carry healthcare on myself than it does for my spouse to cover healthcare for our entire family today. So if you are a multi-generational lazy American (You know who you are) or non-American citizen (we know who you are) in our great country here is my promise.

I will keep working my A$$ off as long as I am physically healthy enough to do so for your free benefits, food, education, and utilities. My kids will grow up with a strong work ethic, will have morals, and will be well educated. My kids will feel obligated to work their A$$ off while your next generation of social dependent tenants drain the resources of this great country that took generations of dreamers to build and only 3 generations to erase. My children will be true Americans with a sense of pride not entitlement.

Enjoy all the soda, ice cream, chocolate milk, and crap food one can consume using an EBT card. Keep buying the beer and cigarettes, because your insuline, O2 tanks, CPAP machines, organ transplants and all the meds you need will be FREE to you but not free for me, and I will pay for yours. Buy a few lottery tickets and a body tat with the extra $$. I don’t smoke and rarely drink but as a working middle class American a chunk of my pay check buys crap and then my pay check pays for the medical care you require because of the lifestyle you choose to live.

I love this country! I am proud to be an American. I was born in 1966, was orphaned at 5 yrs old, and lived on assistance as a child when it was needed. At 17 I went to college, got a job, went back to college, and retrained myself so I could get a better job. I have been employed since 1987, sometimes working 3 jobs and going to school full-time at the same time. It seems like the more successful I am and the more money I make for my family, the less I actually bring home. Funny……Life isn’t always easy, but more and more people are making it harder than it needs to be.

I am sad because I am afraid Americans have quit trying…. I feel like so many folks have given up. Americans are better than ObamaCare. I remember an America where Americans did a damn good job taking care of themselves. Seriously people, having the government take care of you is like being in a dysfunctional dead-end relationship. You will never have more than you do today and eventually you will settle for a whole lot less. Look around the globe… there are many countries that are defined by their government…. I’m thinking that the boat load of pilgrims that settled here were hellbent on not conforming to any government social system. Americans have always been able to help each other out.

Our government measures its success by the number of people it has on its welfare system. It wants as many people on welfare as possible. People who need the government for everything…. that does not sound like a FREE country to me.

This is where I point out that until about 2009, Irish Woman was pretty apolitical.  She had her opinions and beliefs, but something has brought this out of her in the past four or five years.  Talk about waking a sleeping giant.  There has been a lot of talk about people ‘going Galt’ in the past few years, but I don’t think it’ll be the industrialists or financiers that quit first.  It’ll be those of the middle class who have busted their tails and are seeing more and more of their wealth going to those who not only don’t work, but actively refuse to try.

Asking the Hard Questions

General Alexander, head of the NSA, will be testifying in an open session of the house Intelligence Committee this week.  The following are some suggested questions for the good general:

Question 1 -General, exactly what percentage of your agencies requests for warrants to target American citizens are turned down by the FISA courts?

Question 2 – General, please describe to the committee the programs under which the National Security Agency gathers information about the telephonic communications and Internet activities of  American citizens.

Question 2 – General, please describe to us the procedures the NSA has put in place to make it impossible for someone to abuse this data that you’ve put into a conveniently indexed database.

Question 3 – Oh, it’s quite possible that this data could be abused by someone in your organization to target an American citizen for personal or political reasons?

Question 4 – Have you lost your damned mind?

Question 5 – General, do you understand your rights under Article 31 of the UCMJ?

Question 6 – Which one of those yokels sitting next to you is your attorney?

Oh, and “Silently We Defend“, General. Have a nice day.

Congratulations! You’re Now A Traitor!

Edward Snowden, the source of the recent leaks about NSA surveillance programs did a one and a half flip double gainer with a twist across the line from ‘potentially justified whistleblower’ to ‘traitorous douchebag who should be convicted by a jury of his peers and hung from the nearest yardarm” when he revealed to newspapers in Hong Kong that the NSA conducts surveillance / computer hacking against Hong Kong and the Peoples Republic of China.

For those of you who haven’t been paying attention, we’ve fought a shooting war against China, fought at least one war against people supported, trained, and armed by China, and have off-again, on-again been at odds with China in diplomatic, economic, and social circles over the past 65 years or so.  It should come to no-one’s surprise, least of all the Chinese communist party leadership, that our intelligence agencies are keeping tabs on them.

But he didn’t have to confirm it for them, and he certainly don’t need to give them a description of at least one effort to gather intelligence on the Chinese.

You see, every time a particular operation against a foreign power is uncovered, it not only blows the data that operation would have given, but also shows the target an example of where we have an opportunity to learn more about them.  They take that example and compare it to the rest of their military, industry, diplomats, and whatever, find similar circumstances, and figure out ways to either shut down ongoing efforts to exploit them or to prevent future intelligence efforts.

Not to mention that if our intelligence services are using human assets, also known as people, to aid in their efforts, those people have a bad habit of ending up with a 9mm cerebral hemorrhage.  In other words, betraying intelligence operations frequently leads to the murder of human beings.  So much for being a guy who just wants to be a good humanitarian.

I can agree with a lot of what Snowden did when it comes to domestic government surveillance of our citizenry.  Maybe he could have gone to the Inspector General, or maybe to a sympathetic member of Congress, but he went to the press, which some have criticized.  Even then, it has been pointed out that, unlike Bradley Manning, Snowden took steps to make sure that the names of sources weren’t in what he released.  I guess that went out the window once he started talking to his Chinese hosts.

Regardless of the good his earlier revelations may yet bring, this latest trick cannot be justified in any way.  He has endangered our ability to gather intelligence against an unfriendly country, and has possibly put the lives of people who have been helping our country at risk.  For this, I hope he is apprehended, tried, and convicted.

An Analogy

I was thinking about the situation with the NSA and a thought occurred to me:*  What if we take the buzzword ‘terrorism’ out of the equation and look at another scourge:  smuggling.

Right now, our country has a huge problem with smuggling of drugs, people, and money.  This problem includes smuggling both across and within our borders.  The horrors of what illegal drugs are doing to our society, especially in poor, urban areas, as well as the atrocities of human trafficking and forced labor of illegal immigrants are on our front pages and news broadcasts regularly, so the government decides to do more about it.

In an effort to find ways to choke out this smuggling, the government decides that it needs to know the following information:

  1. Who is crossing our border on a regular basis?**
  2. Who owns large capacity vehicles?
  3. Who is moving and using large amounts of money, either electronically or cash?

In order to answer question #1, the government starts using license plate and face recognition technology to figure out who is going across the border on a regular basis.  We can make the argument that knowing who comes and goes through our international borders is a good thing, and is indeed one of the duties of the federal government.  However, recognizing that getting across the border is only the first step for these smuggling networks, the federal government takes it further.  They put up equipment where interstate highways cross state borders and record the license plates of every vehicle that goes by in either direction.  This doesn’t directly infringe on our rights to cross state borders, because they’re not stopping us and they’re only recording the identity of the vehicle, not the passengers.

Later on, they realize that a lot of people fly or take trains in this country, so they start recording the names of everyone who checks in at a train station or an airport.  Again, they’re not infringing on your freedom of movement; they just want to be able to backtrack who goes where and with whom in case someone gets investigated.

On question 2, the government starts out with inquiries to state vehicle registration agencies on such things as large vans, pick-ups, and semi-trucks and trailers.  After a while, it occurs to someone that most illicit drugs are quite small and light, as is cash, and that you can carry more than the driver in the average passenger vehicle.  Realizing that they might be missing a vast amount of smuggling via automobile, they enlarge this information gathering to include not only registrations, but also purchases and rentals of all vehicles, from motorcycles to minivans to semi’s.  Again, they’re not stopping anyone from buying and driving whatever they want; they’re just gathering data.

For question #3, they start with the current regime of banks reporting any transaction over $10,000.  It occurs to someone in the government that criminals know about this reporting, and are making multiple smaller transactions to avoid it, or are not using banks at all.  In an effort to broaden the amount of financial data they have for smuggling investigations, they require banks to report on all financial transactions, no matter the size.  Since a vast majority of businesses use computers to track transactions, the government sends letters with the force of law to the vendors of accounting software which require them to put in a reporting function, which tells the government about what products are being purchased, where, by whom, and whether or not they are being done using cash or some manner of electronic payment.  This extends not only to brick and mortar businesses, but also on-line businesses such as Amazon and Apple.

So now, in order to clamp down on smuggling, the government has begun tracking which vehicles are crossing state lines, who owns or uses which vehicles, and who is making purchases and how they are paying for them.  They take all this information and toss it into huge databases.  When they find that someone is suspected of being a smuggler, they mine that data to track his or her activities, and put in ‘strict’ controls to make sure no-one ever uses the data for nefarious reasons.

One wrinkle on this:  Let’s say that neither Customs, nor the Secret Service, nor even the FBI is doing this.  In order to leverage the capabilities of the NSA and save some money, the government gives the job to them.  The NSA gathers the data, keeps it, and retrieves it at the request of law enforcement.  So now we have an agency, which was set up and fenced off to gather intelligence about our foreign adversaries, being used to gather data and provide intelligence about our citizens.

Sound ridiculous?  I don’t think so.  Yes, there are millions of automobiles in this country, and a lot of them cross state lines every day.  And there are billions of financial transactions every day, from purchasing a soda at the stop-n-stap, to buying stock, to purchasing a home.  It would take a huge amount of storage and computing power to track all of that.  But you know, they could if they wanted to.

I hope you’ve enjoyed my little stroll down the path of conspiracy theories, or maybe you can call this speculative fiction.  But to be honest, it’s only a few degrees away from what recent revelations have indicated when it comes to the activities of our government and our security organs.  There are a massive number of telephone calls every day, and that number is probably dwarfed by the number of Internet transactions such as search, email, and just plain old web surfing going on.

We need to get a handle on this, and repaint the very bright and wide lines we do not wish our intelligence and law enforcement agencies to cross, no matter the motivation.  Yes, we need to monitor for heinous crimes such as terrorism and human trafficking, but the damage that overreaching domestic intelligence programs will, not may, cause to our society is worse than just about anything a terrorist can pull off.

Is the illusion of safety worth not only the erosion, but rather the full-scale spindling, folding, and mutilation of our freedoms?

*I know, mark your calendars.

**Let’s assume that people, goods, and cash only come across at official ports of entry for the sake of this discussion.

Betrayal by Those Who Should Know Better

Disclaimer – In a former career, I worked, along with other members of my unit, with the National Security Agency.  I also have had a professional relationship with the NSA’s current leader, General Keith Alexander, when he was my battalion commander in Germany.  No, I wasn’t a spook, I was a drone, and the work wasn’t anywhere close to as exciting as some people imagine when they find out that I was in military intelligence.

Over the past couple of days, the Guardian has reported on the existence of programs in which the national intelligence services of the United States, including the NSA, have issued dragnet orders to Internet and telecommunications companies to hand over data on all of the activities of their American customers.  Ostensibly, this is done so that the government can rapidly sift through the data to find and fix terrorist networks by analyzing who communicates with whom and when.

As a former professional in the service of our national intelligence services, principally the Army’s Military Intelligence Corps, this sends chills down my spine.  You see, this is not a rigidly defined and constricted investigation of an individual or small group of terrorists or criminals.  This is a “Give us everything, and we’ll define when and how we can sift through it, with permission from the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Courts, of course.” 

Let’s look at this another way.  Would you, as a citizen of the United States or whatever other country you belong to, be OK if the government, acting with the best of intentions and in your best interest, passed a law that required everyone to carry around a national ID card that included an RFID tag?  The government would pay to put up sensors on every street corner, and as each tag passed it, the sensor would put an entry in a database of who passed it and when.  The gathered data would only be used to backtrack the steps and contacts of terrorists in an effort to either prevent attacks or investigate terrorists after one.  This would be coupled with a program at the postal service to track who sent letters, cards, and packages to whom, so that the government could analyze this data in a search for terrorist networks.

I’m imagining that a vast majority of you would object.  But here’s the ugly truth:  We already have that, and you paid for it.  If you have a cell phone, be it a 10 year old flip phone or the latest smart phone, you are carrying a device that talks to your cell phone provider every few seconds, and those companies can and do track which cell towers your phone uses.  They also track, for billing and other purposes, who you call and for how long.  Companies like Google and Facebook, which you use voluntarily, know who looks for what, or who emails whom, or who is where and what they’re doing. All of these companies have been and will continue to be ordered to hand that information over to the government.

So what, you say?  The government has a duty to protect us, and you trust them with this information, you say?  Let’s assume for a moment that the NSA is staffed with living saints and that the President and his lieutenants are philosopher kings who wouldn’t dream of abusing these powers.  Are you sure that this is a permanent situation?  Can you guarantee that the power to sift through the telephone and Internet records of political or social opponents won’t be utilized?   Every power we give those we choose to run our government is open to abuse, and this is one heck of a power to have.

This isn’t a Democrat versus Republican issue, nor is it a liberal versus conservative issue.  These programs have either existed for years or are the logical descendents of programs that existed under previous administrations.  I’m not even that angry with President Obama, although I am irate with the members of the intelligence service on this. 

You see, while we may not have had the technical capability to do what is happening now, when I was an intelligence specialist, we recognized that we had the ability to abuse the technology and methods that we did have.  We had the lessons of the Church Committee pounded into our heads, and it all boiled down to this:  Except in very unique and rare circumstances, the intelligence services of the United States do not use their technology and talents against the people of the United States.  For years, I have been deflecting people I know who hear me mention my military specialty or who read my resume and ask about rumors that the government was monitoring all telephone conversations or was watching what we all did on the Internet, or worse.  If I said anything at all, I talked about the legal and cultural aversion that the intelligence community had against targeting Americans.  I really did believe that, even with the loosening of laws after 9/11, the community as a whole would be honorable and self-restrained in how it did its business.  Now, in the space of a few days, I find just how deluded I had become. 

The members of our intelligence services should be ashamed of themselves.  They are trusted with powerful tools for gleaning and analyzing data about our nation’s enemies, and using them to blindly vacuum up the data of our own citizens is irresponsible and unforgivable.

This morning, I read that the Obama administration has acknowledged these programs and tried to explain away what they were doing.  Here is how Time magazine reported the government’s response.  My thoughts are in italics.

  • The judicial order that was disclosed in the press is used to support a sensitive intelligence collection operation, on which members of Congress have been fully and repeatedly briefed. The classified program has been authorized by all three branches of the Government. — I want to know which members of Congress knew about this, and why they didn’t immediately shut it down, either through cutting off funding or by going to the press.  A Congressman or Senator who didn’t have the guts to dare either President Bush or Obama to prosecute them for reporting this kind of abuse to the rest of us doesn’t deserve to hold office.  I also want to know who in both the Bush and Obama administrations knew about this and signed off on it.  Just because all three branches knew about it doesn’t mean it’s right or constitutional. 
  • Although this program has been properly classified, the leak of one order, without any context, has created a misleading impression of how it operates. Accordingly, we have determined to declassify certain limited information about this program.  —  Whatever.  Let’s get on with real data instead of rhetorical flourishes.
  • The program does not allow the Government to listen in on anyone’s phone calls. The information acquired does not include the content of any communications or the identity of any subscriber. The only type of information acquired under the Court’s order is telephony metadata, such as telephone numbers dialed and length of calls. —  The ability to figure out who talks to whom, how, and for how long is the meat of just about everything you need to either find a terrorist network or figure out who is leaking embarrassing government information to the press or who is participating in a legal effort to oppose the actions of the government.  The actual content of the phone calls, or the emails, or whatever is contained in the targeted communications should be looked at as a bonus. 
  • The collection is broad in scope because more narrow collection would limit our ability to screen for and identify terrorism related communications. Acquiring this information allows us to make connections related to terrorist activities over time. The FISA Court specifically approved this method of collection as lawful, subject to stringent restrictions. — That’s the point, jackass.  Your ability to collect information on our citizens is supposed to be limited, and it’s not supposed to be easy.  If you believe that someone is a terrorist, then get a warrant specifically for that person, and do your damn job.  And don’t insult me by talking about how you went through FISA on this and they were OK with your methods.  FISA is not much more than a rubber stamp on your efforts.  I’ve seen reports that they reject about 1% of the warrant requests you all make, and if these latest revelations show what they approve of, just how horrendous are the ones they reject?
  • The information acquired has been part of an overall strategy to protect the nation from terrorist threats to the United States, as it may assist counterterrorism personnel to discover whether known or suspected terrorists have been in contact with other persons who may be engaged in terrorist activities.  — Again, if you have specific, actionable information about one of us, build a case, get a warrant from a really impartial court that’s more than a rubber stamp, and investigate away.  This is nothing more than an unconstitutional  blanket acquisition of data on innocent citizens.
  • There is a robust legal regime in place governing all activities conducted pursuant to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, which ensures that those activities comply with the Constitution and laws and appropriately protect privacy and civil liberties. The program at issue here is conducted under authority granted by Congress and is authorized by the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC). By statute, the Court is empowered to determine the legality of the program. — If Congress authorized this, presumably through such things as the USA Patriot Act, it needs to revoke that authorization.  Also, just because Congress said you could do it, doesn’t mean you should do it.  As for your legal regime to govern these activities, don’t insult my intelligence by stating that it’s impossible for someone to get at this data for less than pure reasons.
  • By order of the FISC, the Government is prohibited from indiscriminately sifting through the telephony metadata acquired under the program. All information that is acquired under this program is subject to strict, court-imposed restrictions on review and handling. The court only allows the data to be queried when there is a reasonable suspicion, based on specific facts, that the particular basis for the query is associated with a foreign terrorist organization. Only specially cleared counterterrorism personnel specifically trained in the Court-approved procedures may even access the records. — Again, we’re taking your word that you have better information controls than have ever been devised by mortal man to keep people with nefarious intentions from abusing this data. 
  • All information that is acquired under this order is subject to strict restrictions on handling and is overseen by the Department of Justice and the FISA Court. Only a very small fraction of the records are ever reviewed because the vast majority of the data is not responsive to any terrorism-related query.  — Right, because the DOJ would never abuse positions of trust and authority to persecute the political opponents of whoever sits in the Oval Office.  And if you’re only ever going to use a small fraction of this data, why in the name of Nathan Hale are you gathering it in the first place?
  • The Court reviews the program approximately every 90 days. DOJ conducts rigorous oversight of the handling of the data received to ensure the applicable restrictions are followed. In addition, DOJ and ODNI regularly review the program implementation to ensure it continues to comply with the law.  — Again, we have to believe when you pinky swear that you’ll never even consider abusing access to this data. 
  • The Patriot Act was signed into law in October 2001 and included authority to compel production of business records and other tangible things relevant to an authorized national security investigation with the approval of the FISC. This provision has subsequently been reauthorized over the course of two Administrations – in 2006 and in 2011. It has been an important investigative tool that has been used over the course of two Administrations, with the authorization and oversight of the FISC and the Congress. — Falling back on the Patriot Act is pretty weak tea.  The only good part of this debacle is that it just might give impetus to legislation designed to amend or repeal it. 

  The people who came up with these programs, authorized them, and implemented them need to be staked out and forced to come clean to the American people.  There is a line where protecting our nation from terrorists crosses over into paranoia and tyranny, and the NSA and other intelligence services have not just brushed up against it, but have instead danced across it with glee.  The legal fig leaf of FISA and the Patriot Act need to be reformed or done away with, and those who have abused the trust and confidence of the nation need to be held accountable.

Happy Witnesses to the Genocide Day!

Today is the International Day of United Nations Peacekeepers.  For those who don’t know, UN peacekeepers are the guys and gals who run into combat zones wearing blue helmets, driving white vehicles, and carrying only light weapons.  I might consider that a pretty brave thing to do on a personal scale, but it’s a waste of money and manpower otherwise.  In any situation where there is active combat going on, all these guys do is go in and act as on-the-ground witnesses to the carnage.  Say it with me:  You can’t keep a peace that isn’t there in the first place.  From Sarajevo to Mogadishu, from Kinshasa to the Golan Heights, the boys in blue never fail to disappoint in their strict adherence to this formula:

  1. Show up
  2. Take bribes from both sides
  3. Look away if at all possible (See #2)
  4. Commit a few crimes against humanity of their own
  5. Get kidnapped
  6. Pay ransom
  7. Watch people get slaughtered before getting airlifted out
  8. Testify to the press and a UN tribunal about the horror of watching people get slaughtered and not doing anything to stop it but use polite language
  9. Write a book about it.

Here’s a hint – If you’re in a combat zone and there are guys in blue helmets running around, you’re free to do whatever, because no-one gives enough of a crap to actually send someone who is going to do something to stop you.

So I’m going to hoist a couple to the boys of the UNPROFOR, remember the people they failed to protect in Bosnia, and pray that we never have to see their like here at home.